Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 71.958600 81.057664 90.390798 100.647799 111.572263 122.830350 135.279627
2025-03-16 57.374834 70.291074 84.166806 100.051758 117.609254 136.307506 157.613144
2025-03-23 49.722199 64.864818 81.688730 101.500767 123.943023 148.349239 176.676780
2025-03-30 44.184615 60.969624 80.174284 103.333646 130.097104 159.689492 194.530412
2025-04-06 38.389002 56.081931 76.925354 102.640802 132.917406 166.904222 207.432896
2025-04-13 32.703273 50.743336 72.646635 100.291592 133.434301 171.176250 216.721581
2025-04-20 30.627513 49.703921 73.381192 103.750587 140.618332 183.013660 234.583739
2025-04-27 28.243484 48.023195 73.131705 105.857678 146.075216 192.758769 249.977286
2025-05-04 25.001483 44.904398 70.832437 105.239907 148.096207 198.350957 260.448351
2025-05-11 22.002349 41.849596 68.400641 104.271187 149.539140 203.142170 269.888465
2025-05-18 19.969218 39.986808 67.397660 105.000829 152.979780 210.253194 282.020369
2025-05-25 17.710001 37.585749 65.514469 104.465449 154.745922 215.274984 291.617706
2025-06-01 15.982877 35.869999 64.502034 105.041897 157.924254 222.064242 303.426701
2025-06-08 13.890857 33.377672 62.258786 103.874553 158.811806 226.007959 311.793878
2025-06-15 12.792383 32.397498 62.095083 105.440770 163.155754 234.174491 325.250896
2025-06-22 11.872520 31.629271 62.179794 107.302947 167.857237 242.774742 339.241036
2025-06-29 10.388195 29.715248 60.459316 106.596185 169.154133 247.100316 347.994943
2025-07-06 8.669863 27.155961 57.610599 104.192602 168.126619 248.444943 353.040622
2025-07-13 8.406449 27.339781 58.976191 107.731099 174.964598 259.695952 370.294271
2025-07-20 7.873422 26.933761 59.384494 109.886064 179.953945 268.616455 384.688335
2025-07-27 6.842109 25.385381 57.896042 109.254296 181.169785 272.725130 393.112477
2025-08-03 5.852686 23.775466 56.211375 108.263559 181.847126 276.110155 400.612570
2025-08-10 5.248628 22.932256 55.736044 109.009792 184.857146 282.468293 411.817193